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分析师:金价面临挑战但有望再度上涨,或升至1400美元/盎司

2019-04-17     牛牛财经   来源:
文章摘要:多位分析师表示,黄金价格正面临着挑战。中美贸易摩擦增加了投资者投资黄金的避险需求,而两国间的谈判进展削弱了黄金的吸引力。但美联储发出关键信号,暂停加息是推助金价上涨的一个关键因素,黄金价格很有可能在2019年的下半年升至1400美元/盎司。基本面….

duoweifenxishibiaoshi黄金价gezhengmianlinzhuotiaozhan。中zhongmeimaoyimocazengjialiaotouzizhetouzihuangjindebixianxuqiu,而erliangguojiandetanpanjinzhanxiaoruoliaohuangjindexiyinli。但dan美联储fachuguanjianxinhao,暂zantingjiaxishituizhujinjiashangzhangdeyigeguanjianyinsu,黄huangjinjiagehenyoukenengzai2019年niandexiabannianshengzhi1400美元/盎angsi

jibenmianfenxi

kuansongdehuobizhengce

meilianchuhenkenenghuiweichikuansongdehuobizhengcebinghuihuobihuazhaiwu,美meiyuanshijililvhemeiyuandujiangdagailvhuiluo,带daidongjinjiazhonghuishangxingtongdao。世shijiehuangjinxiehuishouxishichangcelueshiJohn Reade表biaoshi,投touzizhedeyanguangyingchaoyuehuangjindeduanqibodong,关guanzhuqichangqiqianli。他tajieshishuo,该gaixiehuizuijindeyifenbaogaoxianshi,美meilianchuhuobizhengcedezhuanbianyinggaihuizaiweilai12个geyueneituigaojinjia

meiguo10年nianqiguozhaishouyilvzai3月yuedishidiezhidiezhi15个geyuedidian,由youyushichangcaicejingjizengchang“摇yaoyaoyuzhui”,这zhezuyiyinfameilianchuzaijinnianjiangxi

Reade认renwei,美meiguojingjifanghuanzuizhongyinggaihuigeimeiyuanhegushidailaiyali,促cu使shitouzizhegouruhuangjindengbixianzichan

yangxingzichanduoyanghua

geguoyangxingzhengzaidaguimodejiagouhuangjin,金jinrongfuwugongsiIntl Fcstone的deguijinshuquanqiufuzerenMartin Huxley指zhichu,除chumeiyuanwai,黄huangjinshigeguoyangxingwaihuichubeideyibufen。加jiagouhuangjindeyangxingdeyoueluosi、哈hasakesitan,波bolan、匈xiongyali、中zhongguohefeilvbin

zai2018年nianshi,各geguoyangxingjiukaiqiliaohuangjindemairufengchao,在zaijiandiaomaichuhuangjinlianghou,全quanqiugegeguojiazhongyangyinxingdehuangjinmairuliangdadaoliao651吨dun,这zhegeshuzishi1971年nianzhihoudediergao。各geguoyangxingzai2000年nianzhi2010年nian,每meinianchushouhuangjin500吨dunzhi600吨dun,到daoliao2010年nianzhi2018年nian,变bianchengliaomeiniangoumaihuangjin400吨dunzhi600吨dun

shangyicichuxianrucidaguimodehuangjinmairu,还huanyaozhuisudao1971年nian,半bangeshijiqian,美meiguoxuanbuhuangjinyumeiyuandejiageguagoubuzaishengxiao,美meiyuanzicishiquliaohuangjindezhichi,黄huangjinjiagekaishifudong黄金市场yekaishiduli,统tongzhishijiejingjiduoniande“布buleidunsenlintixi”就jiuciwajie

Martin 指zhichu,当dangmeiyuanbuzaiwendingdeshihou,黄huangjinjiuchengdanliaogengweizhongyaodejiaose。目muqian,很henduojingjitiduzaishitudapozishenjingjiduiyumeiyuandeyilai,新xinxingjingjitizaizhengquzhudongquandedaolushang,黄huangjinkenengzhishiqizhongdeyixiaobu

jishufenxi

caijingbianjiClif Droke表biaoshi,在zaiqunian12月yueshi,黄huangjinjiageyouzhongxinhuidaoliao120天tianyidongjun线xianzhishang。120天tiandejun线xianshitarenweizuizhongyaodequshi线xian,可keyigelihuangjindezhongqi(3-9个geyue)趋qushi。经jingyanbiaoming,只zhiyaojinjiagaoyu120日rijun线xian,投touzizhekeyijixuchiyouhuangjin

xiatuxianshiliaoziqunian10月yueyilaizhi黄金期货jiagedezoushi,并bingyuceliaozhi2019年nian6月yuedehuangjin期货价格。期qihuojiagezaizhouyishitupoliao120天tianrijun线xian(蓝lan线xian),并bingzaijun线xianshangfangshoushi。但danqihuojiagezaizhegeweizhibingbuwending,很henrongyibeimaijiajiya

Droke还huanfenxihuangjinxintuojiaoyisuojiaoyijijin(iShares Gold Trust)的dezoushi,该gaijijinbenyuezaoxieshihouchangshijianliqimairuxinhao,但danbingweichenggong。截jiezhi4月yue15日ri,仍rengdiyuqi15天tianyidongjun线xian(蓝lan线xian)。

tajianyitouzizhe,在zaiduotoujianggaihuangjinjiagetuigaozhiqian,应yingbaochixianjintoucun,并bingdengdaixiayigemairuxinhao

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