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地产行业透视:地价回归合理水平,二线城市迎来拿地良机

2019-03-17     牛牛财经   来源:
文章摘要:本文来自微信公众号“克而瑞地产研究”,作者为马千里、邱娟。阳春三月,地市虽然没有迎来成交量的大幅井喷,但就房企参与土拍热情来看,的确比2018年四季度有所改观,高溢价地块成交数量增加之势十分明显。据CRIC统计,各能级城市溢价率均有所上扬,尤其是二….

benwenlaiziweixingongzhonghao“克keerruidichanyanjiu”,作zuozheweimaqianli、邱qiujuan

yangchunsanyue,地dishisuiranmeiyouyinglaichengjiaoliangdedafujingpen,但danjiufangqicanyutupaireqinglaikan,的dequebi2018年niansijiduyousuogaiguan,高gaoyijiadikuaichengjiaoshuliangzengjiazhishishifenmingxian。据juCRIC统tongji,各genengjichengshiyijialvjunyousuoshangyang,尤youqishier线xianchengshibufendikuaiyijialvmingxianshangsheng,考kaolvdaoxindaizhengceyousuofangsong,房fangqixianjinliuxiangduikuanyu,土tudishichangchengxianchuxinxinxiangrongzhishi。为weihuanyuanzuizhenshidetudishichang,本benwenyizhongdianyier线xianchengshiweiyanjiuduixiang,对dui2019年niankainianyilaidishichengjiaoqingkuang、高gaoyijiadikuaijinxingshenrutansuo,以yiqiweigedafangqixinzengtuchutigongcankao

zhong西xibu、京jingjinji、长changsanjiaoquyuhuoyuedujiaogao 供gongdibuzu使shideyuegangaoxiaoyinghuanweixianxian

jiezhi3月yue13日ri,通tongguodui2019年nianyier线xianchengshitudichengjiaodejinqianzongtudijinxingtongjifenxi,结jieguofaxian:土tudichengjiaojizhongzaizhong西xibu、京jingjinjihechangsanjiaoquyudeer线xianchengshi,地dikuaichengjiaoshuliangzuiduodechengshiweizhengzhou,高gaoda81块kuai,半banshuyishangtudi(46宗zong)位weiyuxinzhengshi,主zhuyaoshixinzhengxinquguihualihaodailaidedaguimojianshesuozhi,其qicishikunming、青qingdao、重zhongqing、成chengdu、石shijiazhuang、天tianjindeng,成chengjiaoshuliangjiejin50宗zonghuozaiqiyishang,居juyudiertidui;而erhangzhou、西xian、贵guiyang、济jinan、南nanning、海haikou、上shanghai、太taiyuandengchengshizejuyudisantidui,成chengjiaozongshushuliangzai30宗zongyishang,深shenzhen、厦xiamen、大dalian、合hefei、广guangzhoudengchengshitudishichangzeshifenlengqing,成chengjiaozongdishuliangbuzu10宗zong。而errediandeyuegangaodawanqu,由youyu广guangzhou、深shenzhendengchengshitudigongyingyouxian,热reduhuanweixianxian

er线xiandishi“回huinuan”最zuixianzhu 南nanning、昆kunmingdengchengshigaoyijiadikuaishuliangjuyuqianlie

tudiyijialvzhongjieliaochangjiulaikandediweipaihuai,在zai2019年nianmingxianyinglaihuisheng,由you2018年niandidelishidiwei9.4%升shengzhi2019年nian2月yuede12.2%,这zhezhongdiweihuishengqushizaier线xianchengshibiaoxianzuiweituchu,2月yueshengzhi13.4%,环huanbizengjia3.3个gebaifendian,是shisangenengjichengshizhongyijialvzhangfuzuigaode。究jiuqiyuanyin,主zhuyaoshisuzhou、福fuzhoudengredianer线xianchengshichengjiaoliaoduozongyouzhidikuai,其qizhongsuzhouyousanzongdideyijialvduzai30%以yishang,推tuigaoliaoer线xianchengshideyijialv。流liupaiqingkuangyemingxianhaozhuan,尤youqishi2月yuefen,流liupailvjinyou1.66%,较jiao2018年niandiji2019年nian1月yueyoumingxianhaozhuan,但danshihuanshigaoyu2017年niandiji2018年nianshangbanniandeliupailv

congdianxingyier线xianchengshigaoyijiadikuai(溢yijialvgaoyu30%)的dezhanbilaikan,约yue10%的detudishigaoyijiadikuai,71%的detudishilingyijiachengjiao,处chuyujiaodiyijialv(0-10%)的detudiyezhandao10%。总zongdelaikan,目muqianyier线xianchengshitudichengjiaodeyijialvshuipingchuyujiaodiwei

jiuchengshifenbulaikan,高gaoyijiachengjiaodikuaifenbuzuiduodechengshishinanning,有you11宗zongdikuaichengjiaoyijialvchaoguo30%,然ranhoushikunming、南nanchang、杭hangzhou、西xian、重zhongqing、天tianjin、海haikou、宁ningbodeng,成chengjiaodegaoyijiadikuaishuliangjunchao5幅fu,这zhexiechengshijunweier线xianchengshi;相xiangbizhixia,一yi线xianchengshigaoyijiadikuaimingxianjiaoshao,北beijingyou4幅fu,上shanghaihe广guangzhoujunzhiyou1幅fu,深shenzhenzemeiyougaoyijiadikuaichengjiao。总zongdelaikan,受shouyi线xianchengshitudigongyingyouxian、三sansi线xianchengshizeshoushichangzouleng、土tudishichangguiyuchenjideyingxiang,二er线xianchengshizhujianchengweitudishichangdezhuzhanchang,房fangqijingxiangjiaoweijilie,进jinyibuyoutuigaoliaotudiyijialvshuiping

lingwai,就jiuzhexiechengshichengjiaodegaoyijiadikuaidetudishuxinglaikan,依yiranshichunzhaidijuyushouwei,占zhandaogaoyijiadikuaide42%,其qicishishangzhudi,占zhandao34%,商shangbandizezhiyou2成cheng,而erchengjiaodegaoyijiazonghedikuaijinyou4幅fu。总zongdelaikan,纯chunzhaidiyiranshigefangqijingxiangzhuizhudetudileixing,容rongyituigaoyijialv,并bingqieconggaoyijiadikuaichengjiaojiagepaixingbanglaikan,TOP20中zhongjiuyou11幅fuweichunzhuzhaiyongdi。就jiudanchengshikan,南nanning、西xian、天tianjin、宁ningbodengchengshigaoyijiadikuaiduoweishangzhu,南nanchang、海haikou、郑zhengzhousanchengdegaoyijiadikuaiduoweichunzhuzhaiyongdi

hexindikuaixiangjirushishoufangqirepeng 进jinyibutuigaoyijia

yu2018年nianxiabannianxiangbi,一yier线xianchengshidehexindikuairedumingxianhuiwen,溢yijialvmingxianshenggao,尤youqishizaihangzhou、北beijing、郑zhengzhoudengchengshidebufendikuaiyouyuquyuweizhijiaohao,加jiazhier线xianchengshishichanghuinuandeyingxiang,大dadatishengliaofangqidetouziyuqi,纷fenfenjiarutupaizhenying。以yiningboyinzhouqu06-03-02#(东dongqianhu)住zhuzhaidikuaiweili,该gaidikuailijing226轮lunjingjia,最zuizhongjindiyi16.11亿yiyuandezongjiajingdenaxia,溢yijialv57.6%,平pingjunloubanjia13020元yuan/平pingfangmi。3月yue14日riningboyinzhouquyouchurangyizongzhaidi,最zuizhonggaidikuaibeiningboaokesizhiyeyouxiangongsiyirongduanjia20750元yuan/建jianzhupingmi(8.14亿yiyuan)加jia1600平pingmipeitaoyongfangmianjijingde。种zhongzhongjixiangbiaominger线xianchengshitupairedumingxianshengwen。当dangranzhezhongxianxiangbingfeigeli,苏suzhou2月yue22日riyinglaichunjiehoushoupai,共gongyou5宗zongzhuzhaidikuailianxujingpaichurang,融rongxin、中zhongjun、佳jiazhaoye、中zhongliang、大dahuajituandengqiyefenfenjingde,5宗zongdikuaizonglanjin97.44亿yiyuan。其qizhongchengjiaojiazuigaodegaoxinqushishanjiedaochangjiangludong、竹zhuyuanlubeidikuaijingguo40轮lundejingjia,最zuizhongbeidahua(集jituan)有youxiangongsizhanhuo。地dikuaizongchengjiaojiayuewei40.71亿yiyuan,溢yijia32.14%。

zhidezhuyideshi,北beijingsanfugongyouchanquantudiyijialvyeshengzhigaowei,均junjiejin40%,打dapoliaobeijingyiwanggongyouchanquanfangdaduoweilingyijiachengjiaodetedian,其qizhongliangfuweiyutongzhouqu,很hendachengdushangshiyouyubeijingshizhengfuzhengshiqianwangtongzhoudailaidelihaoxiaoying;加jiazhijudadejiageyoushijinyibutigaoliaogangxukequndejieshoudu,房fangqiyeshikanzhongzheyidian,纷fenfenjiarutupai,溢yijialvyesuizhishuizhangchuangao

dijiahuiguihelishuiping 二er线xianchengshiyinglainadiliangji

zongdelaikan,进jinru2019年nianer线xianchengshitudiliupailvmingxianxiahua,溢yijialvyeyousuoshangsheng,尤youqijinrusanyuefen,土tudishichangshengwengengweimingxian,高gaoyijialvdikuaicengchubuqiong。从conggaoyijiadikuaizhanbiqingkuanglaikan,较jiao2018年niansijiduyeyoumingxianzengjia。究jiuqiyuanyin,主zhuyaoshiyouer线xianchengshiloushixiaofufusu,加jiazhiqiyejingneifazhaizongliangshangshengqierongzichengbenhuiluo、房fangqirongzihuanjing“回huinuan”,资zijinjiaoweichongyu,纷fenfenjiaruxiayilunde“抢qiangliangdazhan”。加jiazhizhexiechurangdikuaidijiadiyuyuqi,多duoshuqiyebaozhuozhizaibidedetaiducanyujingpai,最zuizhong使shideyijialvmingxianshangyang

nanjingjinqiguapaideliangfuhanzhaiyongdijishidianxingdelizi,起qipailoubanjiamingxiandiyuzhoubiantongleidikuaichengjiaojia,以yi西xishanqiaoG02地dikuaiweili,起qipailoubanjia13237元yuan/平pingfangmi,周zhoubiantongleixiangmushoujiazai3.5-3.9万wanyuanzuoyou,即ji使shianzhaozuigaoloumianxianjia19172元yuan/平pingfangmichengjiao,盈yinglikongjianyeshifenjuda。在zaidangqiandijiahuiguibijiaohelishuipingdejumianxia,不bushiweinadiliangji

congdangqiantudigongyingqingkuanglaikan,三sanyuedidagailvjiangyinglaiyibojizhonggongyingchao,在zaidijiajiaoweiheli、楼loushipinxian“回huinuan”迹jixiangdedangqian,抓zhuazhujihuiqiangduoyouzhidikuaishidangwuzhiji。尤youqirenkou、产chanyezhichengnenglijiaoqiangdechengshikezhongdiankaolv,譬piruhangzhou、西xian、郑zhengzhoudengrenkouliurujiaoduodechengshi;而ernaxiemuqiangongqiuguanxipingheng、房fangjiayijingguodutouzhidechengshi,虽suirancunzaiyidingdetouzijihui,但danzhegeshihounadidetouzihuibaolvyehuimingxianxiahua,建jianyirengxujinshenchuzhi

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